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兴业投资：美联储决议前 美元止跌黄金过山车 2020年7月29日 基本面 在美国参议院共和党公布新一轮规模为1万亿美元的经济刺激计划后，美元迅速消化利空，并在美联储利率决议前有所企稳，但反弹力度有限。这使得早前依托美元弱势而走强的非美资产有所收敛，其中黄金在刷新历史新高1981.02后一度下跌近75美元，随后回升至1960附近，日线收得带长上下影线的阴烛。欧元同样自高位回落，但仍未破坏整体的涨势，商品货币中，仅澳元兑美元轻微收涨，而瑞郎维持上涨，但涨幅已经明显放缓，日元先抑后扬，或也将进入拐点，反倒是英镑在向上破位后继续走高，上行走势维持良好。 市场密切关注新冠疫苗进展，乐观消息可能掩盖近期
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7月28日做单总结:欧美在1.1720–1.1730之间做多建仓成功，最高反弹到1.1744，短线盈利空间在15–25个点。
上一交易日（2020.7.28周二）即美国共和党提出1万亿美元刺激政策方案之后，民主党也随后提出了自己的一套3.5万亿美元刺激计划，两党最终能达成怎样的方案还不得而知。
今日，因美联储FOMC会议即将开启，市场押注将会推出更多的经济刺激政策，市场风险偏好受提振。此外，美联储表示将延长7项紧急贷款机制直至年底，美国实施大力度的财政和货币刺激政策令宏观面维持乐观基调不改。
欧元本周继续小幅上行，昨日最高1.1780区域。从图形来看，上方1.1780区域有强阻力......
本周四凌晨2点将迎来美联储7月议息会议，随后美联储主席鲍威尔将发表讲话，目前市场预期本次会议上美联储料将按兵不动。
镑美： 昨天晚间传出英国贸易谈判的利好消息，欧盟谈判官改变了态度，对镑美走势带来一定的支撑。今天的关注焦点在美国房屋销售数据上，预期利空美元，凌晨有美联储的利率决议，本次利率决议预期 与前值保持一致，关注美联储主席的讲话，是否提到未来的货币政策手段以及未来美国经济看法，有机会影响到美元走势。其他方面需要关注的是英国贸易谈判新闻以及全球疫情上，关注英国央行的举动，有机会影响到镑美走势。 从技术走势上来看，镑美走势震荡上行，下方支撑在 1.289-1.286 附近位置，进一步支撑在 1.284-1.283 附近位置，进一步支撑在 1.282-1.279 附近位置，上方阻力在 1.294-1.29
